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Michael Baker Corporation (BKR)

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4:00 pm
September 26, 2011


Jae Jun

Admin

posts 1453

2

I've become wary of such companies being mismanaged and then needing a  turnaround.

The process is much harder and takes longer than expected. But let me just quickly jot down some notes.

  • gross margins increasing by improving efficiency
  • SG&A is increasing. What are they spending on?
  • good cash balance
  • no debt
  • CROIC, ROE has taken a nose dive to the point where it doesn't look like they will be able to exceed cost of capital
  • low FCF/sales

If it's undervalued, it seems like it is only undervalued by a little bit.

12:38 am
September 22, 2011


nell

Member

posts 100

1
Business Summary  

Michael Baker Corporation, through its subsidiaries, provides engineering design and related consulting services for public and private sector clients worldwide. Its services include project and program management, design-build, construction management and inspection, consulting, planning, surveying, mapping, geographic information systems, architectural, interior design, site planning and design, constructability reviews, site assessment and restoration, strategic regulatory analysis, and compliance. The company serves transportation, aviation, rail and transit markets, defense, environmental, architecture, geospatial information technology, homeland security, municipal and civil, pipelines and utilities, and water markets. Michael Baker Corporation was founded in 1940 and is headquartered in Moon Township, Pennsylvania.

 

- Big unused cash hoard 

- Undervalued in terms of EV/EBITDA etc.

- Room for operational improvement

 

Assessment from Starboard LP, Value activist..

Starboard Value LP, together with its affiliates, currently owns 6.3% of the outstanding common stock of Michael Baker Corporation ("Baker" or "the Company"), making us one of the Company's largest shareholders.  Although you and your management team have not been available to speak with us, despite our numerous attempts to reach you, our views and recommendations outlined herein are based upon our extensive research and analysis of the Company.  We look forward to beginning a dialogue with you and the Board of Directors (the "Board") at your earliest convenience to discuss the issues we set forth in this letter.  

We believe Baker is significantly undervalued and there are meaningful opportunities to greatly improve both operating and stock price performance.  There are two primary drivers behind Baker's stock price underperformance: (i) Baker's insistence on continuing to pursue acquisitions, likely priced at significantly higher multiples than where Baker currently trades, and (ii) Baker's significant underperformance relative to competitors in terms of its utilization rate and other operating metrics.  We also have concerns about certain aspects of Baker's corporate governance practices, highlighted by the fact that for the past two years Institutional Shareholder Services (ISS) has recommended that shareholders withhold their votes for all members of the Board for, among other things "poor attendance" and "lack of board responsiveness to shareholder concerns."

 

Stock Price Underperformance

As shown in the table below, over the last one-, three- and five-year periods, the Company's stock price has declined by approximately 38%, 40% and 6%, respectively.  This performance is significantly worse than both Baker's competitors and the market as a whole.

 

Share Price Performance (1)

 
1 Year

3 Year

5 Year

 
 
Russell 2000 Index

13.3%

-7.4%

-2.2%

 
Peer Group (2)

27.0%

-23.1%

-6.0%

 
 
Michael Baker Corporation

-37.9%

-40.2%

-6.2%

 
Underperformance vs. Russell

-51.2%

-32.8%

-4.0%

 
Underperformance vs. Peer Group

-64.9%

-17.1%

-0.2%

 
 
 
1. Performance as of August 23, 2011.

 
2. Peer Group consists of companies used in BKR proxy to set executive compensation and include TTEK, GVA, OII, MTZ, INSU, ENG, STRL, HIL and TRR.

 
 

While stock prices in the broader engineering and construction industry have been generally impacted by concerns over the economy and government spending, Baker's stock price has declined more than the group as a whole, and trades at a significant discount to its peers on almost any metric.  For example, Baker currently trades at approximately 2.8x Wall Street's 2011 EBITDA estimate compared to approximately 6.5x for the Peer Group.

 

Share

Market

Ent.

EV / Revenue

EV / EBITDA

P/E

 
Company

Ticker

Price

Cap

Value

CY11E

CY12E

CY11E

CY12E

CY11E

CY12E

 
 
BKR Proxy Comp Group

 
Tetra Tech Inc.

TTEK

19.01

1,188

1,219

0.66x

0.62x

6.0x

5.5x

13.3x

11.6x

 
Granite Construction Incorporated

GVA

17.83

690

622

0.31x

0.28x

4.6x

3.6x

19.5x

12.1x

 
Oceaneering International, Inc.

OII

37.96

4,120

3,969

1.87x

1.67x

8.5x

7.1x

19.0x

15.6x

 
MasTec, Inc.

MTZ

19.09

1,617

1,980

0.69x

0.64x

6.9x

5.8x

14.7x

12.4x

 
Insituform Technologies Inc.

INSU

13.44

531

555

0.58x

0.51x

5.1x

3.8x

10.6x

7.1x

 
ENGlobal Corp.

ENG

3.05

81

94

0.25x

0.22x

10.5x

3.6x

19.7x

5.9x

 
Sterling Construction Co. Inc.

STRL

12.08

199

155

0.31x

0.28x

4.0x

3.3x

16.2x

11.6x

 
Hill International, Inc.

HIL

5.22

201

291

0.68x

0.35x

31.8x

2.9x

n.a.

5.0x

 
TRC Companies Inc.

TRR

5.05

138

129

0.53x

0.51x

n.a.

n.a.

22.1x

17.2x

 
 
Mean

0.65x

0.56x

9.7x

4.5x

16.9x

10.9x

 
Median

0.58x

0.51x

6.5x

3.7x

17.6x

11.6x

 
 
Michael Baker Corporation

BKR

$20.57

$192

$104

0.20x

0.19x

2.8x

2.4x

12.5x

9.9

     

 

Flawed Acquisition Strategy

Given Baker's operational underperformance and industry-low valuation multiples, Baker should not be considering any acquisitions.  Based on the historical multiples that Baker has paid for acquisitions, and the multiples at which transactions in the industry typically occur, we believe that any acquisition Baker makes would continue to destroy significant shareholder value.  

The Company's acquisition of The LPA Group serves as a recent example.  On May 4, 2010, Baker acquired LPA for between 6.0x and 8.1x EBITDA.(1)  Since that time, Baker's market valuation has declined by over 40%.  We believe LPA's annual revenue has declined from approximately $95 million at the time of the acquisition to approximately $80 million over the last 12 months.  Therefore, a multiple calculated on LPA's current EBITDA could look even worse.  The LPA deal is tangible evidence of the downside risk to shareholders caused by Baker's flawed acquisition strategy.

We seriously question the rationale for continuing to pursue acquisitions, given inherent execution risk and valuation discrepancy, while the Company trades at such a depressed EBITDA multiple. Baker's constant search for acquisition targets has been a clear distraction to management, as has been the integration process following any such acquisitions.  Rather than continuing to search for acquisitions at significantly higher multiples than where Baker trades, we believe the Company should instead focus on improving operating margins at the Company and using its cash to buy back its own stock at such a deeply discounted multiple.  This is a far better capital allocation decision than pursuing the current acquisition strategy.

Lagging Operating Performance

For years, Baker's operating performance has significantly lagged its peers.  This gap has been accentuated during the recent economic slowdown.  Baker has among the lowest operating margins in its industry, which we believe is due to Baker's low utilization rates, high number of under-sized offices, and inconsistent ability to generate revenue in certain regions and specialties.  We also believe Baker has a bloated overhead structure.  

Not only is Baker's utilization rate among the lowest in its industry, but it has failed to approach the targets that Baker's own management has used to benchmark success.  In 2006, during the Company's third quarter conference call, Richard Shaw, Baker's current Chairman and then CEO, stated, "One of the keys to managing this company is just to look at the utilization rate.  When the utilization rate is in the 80% or above range, you're running a profitable business.  When it's down in the 60% level, either in office or by group or discipline, then now you're in trouble."  We note Baker's utilization rate has been in the mid-50% range over the last year or more, and only recently returned to a peak of 66% in the second quarter of 2011.  Further, we believe that Baker has certain offices or groups for which the utilization rate is significantly below this level.  While we acknowledge that Baker's business has changed with the sale of its energy segment, we nevertheless believe that Baker's utilization level continues to significantly trail the overall industry.  

While Baker has recently announced some cost-cutting and headcount reduction initiatives, these reductions account for an insignificant percentage of Baker's workforce, and are far less than the reductions that Baker's competitors have made.  Moreover, these limited cost-cutting initiatives came long after many of your competitors began reducing costs.  While we understand that Baker's success is driven by its talented pool of engineers, we believe that there is significant room for Baker to further reduce costs without meaningfully impacting its competitive positioning or revenue base.  Given the weak macroeconomic environment and outlook for government spending, as well as the significantly larger cost reduction programs undertaken by Baker's competitors, we do not believe increasing the scope of the Company's cost-cutting initiatives would hinder Baker's ability to retain its most talented, revenue-producing employees.

Conclusion

We firmly believe Baker is undervalued and there is a significant opportunity to improve both its operational performance and shareholder value.  The purpose of this letter is to clearly outline our concerns regarding the strategic direction and current performance of the Company.  We believe now is the time for the Board to take decisive action to address the significant concerns highlighted in this letter.  We strongly urge the Company not to commit any more capital to acquisitions at the current time given Baker's depressed share price and instead use that cash to buyback its own stock.  We also encourage management and the Board to implement further cost reduction initiatives to bring utilization rates back to acceptable levels driving improved operating margin.  We look forward to the opportunity to work constructively with you and the Board of Directors to enhance value while ensuring that Baker is run with the best interests of all shareholders as the primary objective.

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