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IBCA

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1:37 am
March 24, 2010


zehua

Member

posts 96

2

Post edited 9:43 am – March 24, 2010 by zehua


Nice job. I looked at their 10K. They said that "In 2009,
nonperforming assets with a carrying value of $34.0 million were repaid or sold for total proceeds of $33.4 million."

This means even if the loans are default, they don't lose too much money, which is good news.

I dialed the number listed on the google finance website, and the lady answering the phone has no idea what Investors relations is. I said I wanted to talk to investors relations, and she said she didn't know what this is.Cry

One of my few concerns is that they have a small fraction of corporate bonds that are C+ credit ratings. I think banks should be conservative and only buy A+ bonds from the government, unless it is a trading department that focuses on junk bonds, which I don't think is the situation for IBCA.

The other concern is their cash position. It is only 8 millions compared with 54 millions for last year. I can see that they repaid a huge amount of debt back to their credit facility, which is good, and will reduce their interest expense, but will this created liquidity problems? Are they able to easily pull money out of that credit facility when they need cash again?

3:23 pm
January 15, 2010


stocki711

Member

posts 26

1

Warning:This is a small commerical bank but it is too cheap to ignore

 They have a shareholder equity of $213.137M which means you can buy them for 16 cents on the dollar. Presently, the balance sheet of IBCA indicates they are prepared for 1.8% loan losses. If this rate of delinquency were to increase to 10%, IBCA would have a shareholder equity of $41M+. The current average non-nonperforming loan rate is 6.56% in Florida for commercials loans. If IBCA were to have a delinquency rate of 6.56% would result in a new shareholder equity of $100M. The article I got the information from also stated that 70% of Florida banks are unprofitable year-to-date and IBCA has been profitable each of the 4 quarters during the crisis. At a current market cap of $25M I see IBCA as a possible 4-8 bagger over the next 2-5 years. Hopefully the loans they wrote are worth holding, but at 16 cents on the dollar I'm buy IBCA's equity. They currently have a book value of $23 a share and two years ago were trading at a pos of $50+. Their margin spread is widening and their tier 1 capital ratios are all above 10%.

Current p/b ratio of 0.18



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