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Value Investing Congress – Market Folly Notes

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7:08 am
March 3, 2012


nell

Member

posts 103

6

Follow up..

 

Analysts reduced their growth assumptions for GMCR from 37% to 33%, while Mr. Market was a bit more radical from 37% to 20%.

I still dont believe in those growth assumption, while this company provides a croic of -10%.

 

p/iv roi roe croic ticker price iv bv payout eps0 eps1 epsgrow
0.66 0.19 0.28 -0.1 gmcr 68.29 103.15 13.12 0.0 2.67 3.69 0.33

 

Best wishes,

 

Nell

1:26 pm
October 21, 2011


Graeme

Austin, Texas

Member

posts 183

5

Thanks for posting all these!

8:01 am
October 19, 2011


somrh

Member

posts 336

4

So they now have an updated link:

Value Investing Congress: Slideshow Presentations & In-Depth Notes

They now have the visual presentations that the presenters were presenting (say that 50 times fast!).

Their own notes are still useful, especially the Q&A portion.

12:01 pm
October 18, 2011


somrh

Member

posts 336

3

I've seen GMCR bashed for quite some time now.

James Chanos' comments were pretty interesting. He mentioned the for-profit education group which Einhorn previously had short positions in but I think he covered already. Chanos also had an interesting comment regarding XOM.

11:07 am
October 18, 2011


nell

Member

posts 103

2

 

Just for fun i valued GMCR (Einhorns short play)..

 

As one can see Mr. Market values GMCR as 37% eps growth would occur in the next 5 years! while cash return on

invested capital is a measly -11%! ;-)

 

croic p/iv roi roe ticker price iv bv payout eps0 eps1 epsgrow
-0,11 0.98 0.11 0.22 gmcr 81.57 83.5 32082 0.0 23743 22313 0.37

 

5:40 am
October 18, 2011


somrh

Member

posts 336

1

Market Folly has written up some notes from the Value Investing Congress. Here are notes from Oct 17:

Day 1 Notes

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