Quick valuation update with CME added (thanks somrh!) and croic as new attribute:
| croic |
p/iv |
roi |
roe |
ticker |
price |
iv |
bv |
payout |
eps0 |
eps1 |
epsgrow |
| 0.02 |
0.7 |
0.18 |
0.11 |
nyx |
26.8 |
38.11 |
27.32 |
0.55 |
2.61 |
2.91 |
0.13 |
| 0.05 |
0.79 |
0.15 |
0.1 |
ndaq |
24.57 |
30.98 |
29.09 |
0.0 |
2.5 |
2.79 |
0.13 |
| 0.54 |
0.87 |
0.13 |
0.69 |
cboe |
25.95 |
29.9 |
2.51 |
0.32 |
1.54 |
1.73 |
0.15 |
| 0.04 |
0.94 |
0.11 |
0.06 |
cme |
256.93 |
272.81 |
313.52 |
0.29 |
17.67 |
19.47 |
0.12 |
| 0.15 |
0.95 |
0.11 |
0.18 |
ice |
122.77 |
129.64 |
41.53 |
0.0 |
6.79 |
7.57 |
0.2 |
From a valuation point i would prefer NYX, but cash return on invested capital (croic)
shows that NYX is not efficient (clear preference for CBOE – croic 54%!). This might
be a reason why they are involved in a merger with DeutscheBoerse (which is more
efficient – ROE 24%). Now it gets interesting as one could argue that this merger
makes perfect sense and could allow investors not just a short term value play
in a merger context, but even better a longterm value play on synergies.
@somrh:
Stock exchanges make their money with a fee for service model. If you take a quick
look into NYSE price list (table of contents, http://www.nyse.com/about/publ…..7645.html),
you can see a diversified fee stream.
Price List 2010
Transaction Fees……………………………………………………………………………………..3
Fees and Credits applicable to Designated Market Makers …………………………4
Credit Applicable to Supplemental Liquidity Providers………………………………..5
Crossing Session II ……………………………………………………………………………….6
NYSE MatchPointSM System………………………………………………………………………7
New York Block ExchangeSM (“NYBX” SM) ………………………………………………..7
NYSE BONDSSM SYSTEM …………………………………………………………………….7
Risk Management Gateway (“RMG” SM)……………………………………………………8
Listing Fees …………………………………………………………………………………………….9
Next Generation Trading Floor Reservation Fee …………………………………………10
Equipment Fees……………………………………………………………………………………..11
Radio Paging Service…………………………………………………………………………..11
Financial Vendor Services…………………………………………………………………….11
Member Telephone Service ………………………………………………………………….11
Cellular Phones…………………………………………………………………………………..11
Booth Telephone System……………………………………………………………………..11
Service Charges………………………………………………………………………………….11
Broker Subscriber Service…………………………………………………………………….11
Signature Guarantee Service………………………………………………………………..12
Online Comparison System (OCS)…………………………………………………………12
Merged Order Report…………………………………………………………………………..12
Off-Hours Trading………………………………………………………………………………..12
Market Data Fees …………………………………………………………………………………..13
Registration & Regulatory Fees………………………………………………………………..17
Registration Fees………………………………………………………………………………..17
Regulatory Fee……………………………………………………………………………………17
Minimums…………………………………………………………………………………………..17
Other…………………………………………………………………………………………………17
Arbitration Fees…………………………………………………………………………………..17
Trading Licenses…………………………………………………………………………………….18
Furthermore stock exchanges offer a natural monopoly like railroads.
Definition:
A natural monopoly is a distinct type of monopoly that may arise when there are extremely high fixed costs of distribution, such as exist when large-scale infrastructure is required to ensure supply. Examples of infrastructure include cables and grids for electricity supply, pipelines for gas and water supply, and networks for rail and underground. These costs are also sunk costs, and they deter entry and exit.
- Large-scale infrastructure to ensure supply –> Liquidity