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david's nov 21, 2009 picks

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4:26 pm
November 21, 2009


Jae Jun

Admin

posts 1336

4

This is quite a long list of stocks, so I'll only add the bare minimum comments. Further research is up to you of course.

CRDN - Previously owned this but sold as the industry and company kept coming up against challenges. It's a very cyclical company and they rely a lot on the government for revenues which they haven't been getting a lot of.

However, company does look to be worth around $30 which is at about 50% MOS at the moment. Should do well ina few years.

CRH - first time looking at this company. Would say its around $30 and up. I'm not sure exactly what they do so I will be way off at the moment.

MKTAY - A good company. Previously looked at this one before. Value around $40.

NVR - Hard to judge homebuilders at this point but the company is extremely cyclical. Looks like intrinsic value is constantly rising and dropping back.

TTC - Looks to be worth $50ish. Decent MOS at the moment.

HOG - Not a company that I've had much interest at all. Numbers show consistent declines yoy for the past 3-4 years. Probably only worth around $30.

POOL - Selling pool stuff. Good boring business. Only problem I see is that their FCF doesn't increase. So the value of the business won't increase by much each year. About low $20's

SEB - Not sure what the company does.. pass.

ANF - I had AEO until I sold it last month or so. ANF is a better company but PSUN is a contrarian opportunity if you can get in at the right price.

FICO - Between $20-$30

MBT - Interesting one. If it can do business like last year, should be worth around $70

JOSB - wrote about this in my recent post on forbes best 200 small companies. Great company. Value just keeps increasing.

PACR - About $45ish.

11:17 am
November 21, 2009


davidngwl

New York

Member

posts 3

3

thanks jae!

basically. im trying to find companies that have a good m.o.s. to graham's value. and focusing on small – mid cap companies. then after sifting through companies that have a good discount.. i try to figure out whether they have a good economic moat around them. anyways. i look forward to your reply.

ah and also, i am not currently invested in any of the ones i mentioned above. thanks!

4:02 am
November 21, 2009


Jae Jun

Admin

posts 1336

2

hi David,

Good list. I'm glad you're finding ideas with the spreadsheet. I like a few of these already. I'll write some short comments on each one tomorrow. It's late at the moment so I'm not thinking properly.

12:20 am
November 21, 2009


davidngwl

New York

Member

posts 3

1

hi, this is my first posting after having used old school value spreadsheets for the last two months. i hope everyone's been doing well so far! and i would like to make this posting to a list of stocks that i find cheap that i would love to buy. im out of buying ammunitions right now but would love your thoughts on my following picks!

CRDN

CRH

MKTAY

NVR

TTC

HOG

POOL

SEB

ANF

FICO

MBT

JOSB

PACR

ok. please give me some constructive thought or shoot my picks down! god bless.

david

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