Posts Tagged ‘forbes 200’

Learn how to invest, read stock analysis, and find stock picks

Forbes Best Small Companies: Part 4

This is a continuation of my search for the best small companies from the 200 listed in Forbes 2008.

You can refer to the results here: 1-15 | 16-32 | 33-70 | 71-130 | 131-160 | 161-200

The companies ranked 71-130 has yielded 8 results. To recap, below are the criterias of how the companies are being filtered.

  1. Immediately exclude financials (don’t understand or know how to value them)
  2. Run the companies through the intrinsic value spreadsheet with the PE as the growth rate, but capped at 15%. The selected companies shall exhibit;
    • Positive, consistent and growing cash flows.
    • Consistent margins. Fluctuating/decreasing margins over several years will not be accepted unless the other criterias are outstanding.
    • Above average returns from capital investments (CROIC, ROE, ROA)
    • Strong balance sheet
  3. Companies should have at least 5 years of operating history
  4. The companies that make the cut will then be reviewed individually

Results

  1. Portfolio Recovery Associates (PRAA) – collects portfolios of defaulted consumer debt
  2. Techne (TECH) – develops hermatology controls and biotechnology products
  3. Computer Programs and Systems (CPSI) – designs hospital IT support systems
  4. Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory (RMCF) – manufactures chocolate and other confectionery products
    • Company with a long history and very honest and candid management.
  5. Credo Petroleum (CRED) – explores for oil & gas
    • I was surprised that Credo made it past the filter as it is a business typical of high capex but it is one of the rare oil & gas companies that is cash flow positive. Margins are stable for a cyclical company.
  6. Dionex (DNEX) – makes analytical instruments for chemicals industry
  7. Neogen (NEOG) – develops products for food and animal safety
  8. Gen-Probe (GPRO) – develops and markets clinical diagnostic products

Remarks

I noticed that as I kept going down the list, the quality of the businesses started to decline. Margins are inconsistent, returns are low or non-existent as well as growth in revenue and FCF.

Disclosure

No positions at time of writing

[tags]PRAA, TECH, CPSI, RMCF, CRED, DNEX, NEOG, GPRO, forbes[/tags]

Forbes Best Small Companies Project: Part 3

This is a continuation of my search for the best small companies from the 200 listed in Forbes 2008.

You can refer to the results here: 1-15 | 16-32 | 33-70 | 71-130 | 131-160 | 161-200

The companies ranked 33-70 has yielded 10 results.

  1. Nutrisystem (NTRI) – provides weight loss management and fitness programs
    • NTRI was part of my recent short term strategy. Sold as it went up to intrinsic value. Can be considered as faddy. No moat.
  2. Bankrate (RATE) – operates online consumer banking and finance network
    • Personally used the site many times and a company with excellent numbers.
  3. Blue Nile (NILE) – retails diamonds and fine jewelry online
    • Another company I have personal experience with during my search for a wedding ring.
  4. Raven Industries (RAVN) – makes industrial, agricultural, construction and aerospace products
  5. Chattem (CHTT) – markets OTC health care and consumer products
    • Became interested after reading a detailed article on Forbes. Could be a JNJ alternative with higher growth prospects. Equally recession proof as JNJ.
  6. Jos. A. Bank Clothiers (JOSB) – retails men’s clothing and apparel
  7. Ansys (ANSS) – develops engineering simulation software
  8. Diodes (DIOD) - manufactures and distributes semiconductors
    • Competitive no moat industry but price is too cheap to ignore. Made the list based on its cheap price.
  9. FactSet Research Systems (FDS) – provides online financial information to investment community
  10. Meridian Bioscience (VIVO) – markets diagnostic test kits and specialty biological products

There are a few that are trading below my estimated values but only NTRI and DIOD seems to offer a deep discount at this time.

View the graph below to my comments and estimated fair values.

[tags]NTRI,RATE,NILE,RAVN,CHTT,JOSB,ANSS,DIOD,FDS,VIVO, stock analysis, forbes 200[/tags]

Disclosure

No positions in any stocks at time of writing