Posts Tagged ‘ktii’

Learn how to invest, read stock analysis, and find stock picks

Forbes 200 Best Small Companies Project

The October 27,2008 issue of Forbes lists the 200 best small companies of the US. These may be good companies, but I want to know whether they are good investments. So I’ve set up a new challenge.

My goal – go through each company and find the ones worthy of investment.

Since there are 200 companies to go through, the search process will have to be quite mechanical and quick in order to get through the list and to filter out the less than stellar companies.

  1. Immediately exclude financials (don’t understand or know how to value them)
  2. Run the companies through the intrinsic value spreadsheet with the PE as the growth rate, but capped at 15%. The selected companies shall exhibit;
    • Positive, consistent and growing cash flows.
    • Consistent margins. Fluctuating/decreasing margins over several years will not be accepted unless the other criterias are outstanding.
    • Above average returns from capital investments (CROIC, ROE, ROA)
    • Strong balance sheet
  3. Companies should have at least 5 years of operating history
  4. The companies that make the cut will then be reviewed individually

You can refer to the results here: 1-15 | 16-32 | 33-70 | 71-130 | 131-160 | 161-200

Going through the first 15 have already produced 7 candidates for further analysis. They are

Just by looking at the numbers I can see why they made the list.

Also, these companies have all been trading at a premium, some still are, until recently. See the table below.

If potentially good companies keep appearing at this rate, I’ll be very busy over the holiday season.

I’ll be posting updates as I continue down the list so check back soon.

Disclosure: I only own KTII as of this writing

[tags]QSII, PETS, DECK, HITT, KTII, BOOM, MIDD, small cap, stock analysis, forbes, intrinsic value [/tags]

—————————————————————–

osv-download-button-blue

Business Valuation K-Tron (KTII) Update

In May I wrote about K-Tron, a boring niche company that deals with material handling machines and crushing equipment. 3 months later, to my surprise and pleasure, the company has kept chugging along to new highs.

A reader from Seeking Alpha kindly posted a link to a Forbes article regarding K-Tron which I felt was a waste to leave hidden in the comments.

Moving on, I just wanted to point out a few things about K-Tron that I like and what I try to look for in a company.

A Funny Name

The name sounds like the arch nemesis of Optimus Prime from Transformers. This isn’t the type of name that people get excited over such as “China” last year or “solar” this year. Mention “alternative energy” or “solar” at this years Christmas party and you’ll likely draw a big crowd. Mention, K-Tron and people will probably think you are discussing what you bought your kid for Christmas.

Niche

The company is a niche player which won’t attract the big names and I’m not a fan of investing in companies swarmed by competitors. I came close to investing in Sandisk with the recent dip but decided against it due to its commodity nature and falling prices of flash memory. K-Tron on the other hand is in the type of business which is boring (feeding and pneumatic conveying equipment) and very boring (crushing stones and coals). You won’t find analysts or big Wall Street headlines detailing the way K-Tron counts the number of pills or how it can chomp on some coal.

Remember, Wall Street is after activity and excitement in order to get everyone else excited to rouse activity and bring in the commissions.

Detached From the Street

Any company that does not offer guidance, host conference calls or boast about its earnings is worthy of deeper inspection. K-Tron fits all three. With no analysts following the company, they have no reason to host conference calls or to give guidance. K-Tron has always just continued on with its business by cutting costs, making smart acquisitions and not having to worry about meeting estimates. Their focus is entirely on the business.

In July, they had the best quarter yet, but even I didn’t know of it until a couple of weeks later.

High Insider Ownership

I can’t think of a better way to determine whether management believes in their company. Any management can talk but it’s a shame too many can’t walk the walk. There are far to many executives that work for a salary rather than a stake in the company. With Ed Cloues owning close to 10% of the company, I immediately know that his interests and my interests are the same.

Synergy

A fancy way of describing the combination of fries and ketchup; how well things go together. Gillette expanding their business with shaving cream was perfect. Mobil, before it merged with Exxon diworsefied itself by buying Marcor Inc and paying too much for Superior Oil.

K-Tron has been very smart with identifying businesses to acquire and increase the value of the company. Rather than acquiring, regretting and selling, the Forbes article mentions that Cloues is a Buffett type of investor, persistent and unmoving. His initial bid for Penn Crusher was accepted 2 years later.

Honesty

Business is important but dishonest executives or management can run a good company to the ground. I hate to be a judge of character but for the sake of giving an example, one such executive is Angelo Mozilo of Countrywide who cashed out $138 million of stock options while shareholders were ruined.

This is of a more personal note but another point I like about Ed Cloues after reading the article is that he is a family-priority-oriented man. Of all the men that I admire and look up to in my own life are those that hold family as number 1 and all else second.

The way I see it, you can’t bring your company to ruins and still come out with $138 million and be proud of it if you were an ethical man, but that is a personal issue which I won’t dwell into.

Summing Up

All in all, K-Tron has been kind to my portfolio during this volatile season and I’m ever more excited to see how K-Tron expands its business to create shareholder wealth. Now if only an analyst covered it to make things interesting….

Disclosure

Only long KTII. No positions in other stocks mentioned.

[tags]ktii,k-tron,stock analysis,peter lynch[/tags]

Choosing Growth Rates and Discount Rates

Enoch Ko from The Wealth Accumulator brought up some very good questions related to my K-Tron analysis and wrote a interesting follow up post on Thinking About Growth. So while the topic of growth was still on my mind, I decided to revive a couple of old posts I had written in February.

Looking Back at Growth and Discount Rates

I re-read what I wrote and I still hold to it and I think it is a good time to bring it up again because there have been some new readers and probably think I’m crazy for using the methods that I do when evaluating companies. So I invite you to read it and let me know how big a fool you think I am :)